Phish Ticket Bubble Report - 4/20/09

Thanks to brahseph for the valueable info and jonas0tto for the link:

In the last week, prices declined almost 6%. Biggest drop was for Toyota (-20%), becoming the first to sell below face. JB3, Alpine-Sun, MWP, and both Gorge all dropped by 10% or more. Fenway kicks off at 130%. Some softening in most other venues, but Deer Creek and Mansfield are holding steady. Fox is still by far the highest premium at more than 800% markup.

premiums based on average lowest ticket price at Stubhub & Ticketsnow:

Venue: Premium on 4/20 (Change since 4/13)

Fenway: 130% (n/a)
JB1: 56% (n/a)
JB2: 183% (-9%)
JB3: 254% (-15%)
Mansfield: 213% (-5%)
Camden: 99% (-7%)
Asheville: 338% (-7%)
Knoxville: 3% (-3%)
Fox: 802% (+3%)
Burgettstown: 45% (-2%)
Deer Creek: 146% (-2%)
Alpine-Sat: 90% (-5%)
Alpine-Sun: 59% (-11%)

RR-Thu: 336% (-8%)
RR-Fri: 396% (-4%)
RR-Sat: 410% (-8%)
RR-Sun: 340% (-4%)
Shoreline: 32% (-5%)
Gorge-Fri: 54% (-11%)
Gorge-Sat: 76% (-10%)
Toyota: -11% (-20%)
Darien Lake: 22% (+1%)
Hartford: 48% (-3%)
MWP: 52% (-11%)
SPAC: 101% (-8%)

Im still sticking with my gut and saying that you will be able to get a lawn at most venues for face or less day of show.